New Delhi: Ring on Modi wave, Bjp led NDA will emerge as the front-runner, if elections were to be held today, according to ABP News-Nielsen National Poll. This is a good news for NDA, but the fact that BJP's prime ministerial candidate Narendra Modi's effect is not strong enough to help it reach 272+ is a kind of setback for BJP.
The latest pre-poll survey predicts a big surge for BJP from the last election, taking the seat count for the National Democratic Alliance that it leads to 233. That compares with 159 Lok Sabha seats for NDA in 2009.
The Opinion Poll has found that NDA is set to win 233 seats in the 543-seat parliament while the incumbent UPA-II government is projected to win mere 119 seats.
According to the projection, BJP alone will get 209 (won 116 seats in 2009) seats. The Congress is projected to get only 91 (won 206 seats in 2009) seats--115 less than 2009 seat position in the Lower House.
The other big players to emerge from the elections would be the Trinamool Congress with 28 seats, Left with 23, AIADMK with 21, BSP with 18 and BJD with 17 seats.
West Bengal chief minister Mamta Banerjee and Tamil Nadu chief minister Jayalalithaa are likely to be the game changer in these elections. Since NDA is not likely to reach majority mark, Mamata and Jayalalithaa's would be the most sought after politician after the counting of votes.
Break-up of seats:
UPA 119: East 22 (142) North 27 (151), South 35 (134), West 25 (116)
NDA 233: East 37 (142), North 87 (151), South 21 (134), West 86 (116)
Left 23: East 14 (142), North 0 (151), South 9 (134), West 0 (116)
Others 170: East 59 (142), North 37 (151), South 69 (134), West 6 (116)
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