Friday, May 16, 2014

5 reasons why ABKI BAAR MODI SARKAAR

New Delhi: With the latest exit polls giving clear cut mandate to the BJP led NDA government; it comes as absolute clarity now that "ABKI BAAR- India will see - MODI SARKAAR." However, it may be a bit early to predict a clear cut victory for the MODI SARKAAR, till the fat lady sings (final counting is done on May 16) - still, nothing much of a major upset is expected though. If all goes by what exit polls predict, Modi is definitely forming a government at centre this time. But, what are the major reasons which support the speculations. Here are 5 reasons which ensure ABKI BAAR MODI SARKAAR Reason 1: Support of urban voters As national daily Mint states in one of its columns “Among various other promises, Modi pledged to chart a separate policy for the “neo middle class” if voted to power. The poll manifesto, in the form of a “commitment letter”, focuses on development.” In a report by Times of India way back in 2012 “Urban India votes for Narendra Modi as PM”, urban voters preferred Modi to be PM, although, they didn’t exonerate him of 2002 Godhra riots. Furthermore, considering large number of scams unearthed during UPA I and II rule, majority of the urban gentry seems disillusioned by the Congress. Reason 2: Huge corporate backing Undoubtedly, BJP has been the most preferred political lot among traders of the country and big corporate honchos that see it’s leader and incumbent Gujarat Chief Minister Narendra Modi as a ‘messiah’ of development, backed by his credit worthy performance in Gujarat during his tenure as Chief Minister, in the last three terms. His proximity to Adani and Ambani is well known. Going by the various stories floating in the markets, huge cash is backing him this time around. The way bourses are responding, Sensex has gained 13 per cent from the month of January till now, and further rise expected especially for the stocks of companies enjoying base in Gujarat such as Adani and Reliance, "Modi Sarkaar" is there to rule this time. Reason 3: Polarized elections Despite all the political parties vowing before the elections, communal and caste cards won’t be played this time, as the elections came to an end on May 12, the political pitch was seen completely hijacked by the same issues. It would be no exaggeration if said that votes have been polled on communal lines this time and hence, saffron party BJP may reap dividends after all in a nation where the Hindus constitute the majority of population. Reason 4: BJP upbeat after wins in Assembly elections With BJP winning Assembly elections in Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Chattisgarh and emerging victorious on largest number of seats in the bygone Delhi state elections, the saffron brigade seems upbeat to carry the confidence at the national level as well. Barring Delhi, all the contests were staged directly between the Congress and the BJP. To some of the political analysts, the verdict dominantly reflected "mass anger" against the Congress, which has ruled India since 2004 at the head of a multi-party United Progressive Alliance. Therefore, playing on the similar lines, there lays a certain possibility; India may see "Modi Wave" carrying BJP led NDA to the centre comfortably. Reason 5: Exit polls The latest exit polls released on May 16 predict NDA's total tally of 296 in 1999, when Atal Bihari Vajpayee led the coalition to its second consecutive victory. Of all the channels, only Times NOW gave NDA cause for worry by not predicting a simple majority giving BJP and its allies’ 249-265 seats. The other channels predicted an easy win for NDA with CNN-IBN forecasting about 280, Headlines Today 272, India TV 289, ABP 281 and News 24 up to 340 seats in a house of 543.

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